Thứ Năm, 30 tháng 4, 2020

Mourinho 'Tôi nhớ bóng đá' added to Google Docs

Mourinho 'Tôi nhớ bóng đá'

HLV Tottenham, Jose Mourinho muốn mùa giải sớm trở lại và đặt tham vọng giành danh hiệu Ngoại hạng Anh thứ tư trong tương lai.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:46AM
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Pochettino muốn trở lại Tottenham added to Google Docs

Pochettino muốn trở lại Tottenham

HLV Mauricio Pochettino muốn trở lại dẫn dắt Tottenham trong tương lai, để giúp CLB giành những danh hiệu lớn.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:46AM
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Fade the Braves and Ride the Rays if MLB Realigns for Shortened 2020 Season added to Google Docs

Fade the Braves and Ride the Rays if MLB Realigns for Shortened 2020 Season

  • MLB is contemplating a three-division (East, West and Central), 10-team realignment plan for the shortened 2020 season
  • The Central appears to be the most balanced division, making it more difficult for Atlanta to exceed its win percentage prop
  • Tampa Bay (East) and San Diego (West) look like two teams with a great shot to exceed their win-percentage props

Major League Baseball could look a lot different this year if the three-division, 10-team realignment plan it’s considering is approved. The proposal, which still needs medical clearance given the COVID-19 pandemic, would keep many of baseball’s biggest rivals together, and reduce the amount of travel needed.

Breaking MLB: The MLB is considering breaking the league down to three Divisions and keeping play within the Division, thus eliminating the AL & NL for the 2020 Season. #MLBNews #MLBUpdate #MLB2020 #Covid19Update pic.twitter.com/SjzoqiV3jL

— Julian Guilarte (@JulianGuilarte1) April 28, 2020

MLB officials are reportedly optimistic this plan can be implemented by no later than July 2, allowing teams to play at least 100 regular-season games solely within their new division.

The shakeup could drastically influence the 2020 MLB win-percentage odds, so let’s investigate which teams a potential realignment will hurt and who it will help.

2020 MLB Win Percentage Odds Team Division Over/Under Odds Baltimore Orioles EAST 35.0% (-110o/-110u) Boston Red Sox EAST 52.0% (-110o/-110u) Miami Marlins EAST 40.0% (-110o/-110u) New York Mets EAST 53.5% (-110o/-110u) New York Yankees EAST 62.0% (-110o/-110u) Philadelphia Phillies EAST 52.5% (-110o/-110u) Pittsburgh Pirates EAST 42.0% (-110o/-110u) Toronto Blue Jays EAST 46.5% (-110o/-110u) Tampa Bay Rays EAST 56.5% (-110o/-110u) Washington Nationals EAST 55.0% (-110o/-110u) Team Division Over/Under Odds Arizona Diamondbacks WEST 52.0% (-110o/-110u) Colorado Rockies WEST 45.0% (-110o/-110u) Houston Astros WEST 58.5% (-110o/-110u) Los Angeles Angels WEST 52.5% (-110o/-110u) Los Angeles Dodgers WEST 62.5% (-110o/-110u) Oakland Athletics WEST 55.0% (-110o/-110u) San Diego Padres WEST 50.5% (-110o/-110u) San Francisco Giants WEST 42.0% (-110o/-110u) Seattle Mariners WEST 41.0% (-110o/-110u) Texas Rangers WEST 47.5% (-110o/-110u) Team Division Over/Under Odds Atlanta Braves CENTRAL 56.0% (-110o/-110u) Chicago Cubs CENTRAL 53.0% (-110o/-110u) Chicago White Sox CENTRAL 52.0% (-110o/-110u) Cincinnati Reds CENTRAL 52.5% (-110o/-110u) Cleveland Indians CENTRAL 53.5% (-110o/-110u) Detroit Tigers CENTRAL 35.5% (-110o/-110u) Kansas City Royals CENTRAL 40.0% (-110o/-110u) Milwaukee Brewers CENTRAL 51.0% (-110o/-110u) Minnesota Twins CENTRAL 57.5% (-110o/-110u) St. Louis Cardinals CENTRAL 53.5% (-110o/-110u)

Odds taken April 30th.

A Raw Deal for the Braves

The Atlanta Braves are fresh off back-to-back NL East division titles and currently own the fourth-best World Series odds. The 2020 season was looking like a great opportunity for them to reach the NLCS for the first time since 2001, but if this realignment proposal is passed, they’ll be stuck in the most competitive division.

Maybe I’m desperate for baseball but the MLB plan that’s under discussion is good and I like the division realignment. The AL and NL ceased to be distinct entities a long time ago. The line between the AFC and NFC is practically invisible.

— Rob Hart (@RobHartWBBM) April 29, 2020

Just two teams in the Central (Kansas City and Detroit) are projected to win less than 50% of their games in 2020, compared to four teams in the East and five teams in the West. Atlanta will no longer have the luxury of beating up on the lowly Marlins (they were 15-4 vs Miami in 2019), and 55% of their games will be against pitching staffs that ranked top-nine in fewest runs allowed last season.

2020 World Series Odds Tracker   Read More

The Braves won 59% of their contests a year ago, but got quite lucky to do so. They rated out as the second-luckiest team in baseball (behind only Milwaukee) and were 12 games above .500 in one-run affairs. Regression is likely to hit hard in 2020 and keep them under their win percentage prop.

Pick: Braves Under 56.0% (-110)

The Rays are for Real

Over in the East, things are looking bright for Tampa Bay. Not only will they continue to feast on AL East bottom-feeders Toronto and Baltimore, but they’ll also have the luxury of playing 22% of their games against Miami and Pittsburgh, two clubs who combined to win just 39% of their outings in 2019. More easy wins for the Rays.

Tampa Bay advanced to the AL Divisional series a year ago on the strength of its pitching, but lacked enough offense to compete with the heavy hitters. They addressed that issue in the offseason, acquiring Japanese slugger Yoshitomo Tsutsugo and 33-home run man Hunter Renfroe.

Hunter Renfroe. Grand slam. Ballgame!

The Padres win 8-5 on the walk-off 💪 pic.twitter.com/7MBuBHLtwL

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) May 6, 2019

The proposed realignment will also match them up with rivals Boston and New York, plus a trio of quality NL East opponents, including the defending champion Washington Nationals. That may seem daunting, but the Rays were 12 games above. 500 in the AL East last year, and had little trouble with NL opposition, posting a 14-6 record in interleague play.

Pick: Rays Over 56.5% (-110)

Padres Present Value

Another team with a great chance to exceed its win percentage is San Diego. The Padres line currently sits at 50.5% which is below the 51.9% projection assigned to them by FanGraphs. Under the proposed realignment, they’ll play in the West, which is by far the weakest of the three divisions. Yes, it’s loaded up top with Los Angeles and Houston, but five of the 10 teams (Arizona, Colorado, San Francisco, Texas and Seattle) are all projected to play sub .500 baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. just went 468 feet

FOUR. HUNDRED. SIXTY. EIGHT. ☄️

(via @Padres) pic.twitter.com/tqSvF1HPcx

— Bleacher Report MLB (@BR_MLB) July 20, 2019

San Diego is stacked on offense with Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado leading the way, and have a plethora of young pitching talent. Chris Paddack is coming off a phenomenal rookie campaign in which he struck out nearly 27% of the batters he faced, and they’re set to welcome MacKenzie Gore, who was recently named baseball’s best pitching prospect by MLB executives.

As promised, here's MacKenzie Gore *carving* for a three-pitch strikeout, the finale of which was a 96 mph heater. #Padres #Filth #WorthThe445WakeUpCall pic.twitter.com/TUq6BZBJYm

— Josh Norris (@jnorris427) March 20, 2019

They also added former 17-game winner Zach Davies to fill out their rotation, and with 55% of their games coming against projected inferior opponents, they’re a good bet to go over their win percentage.

Pick: Padres Over 50.5% (-110)

The post Fade the Braves and Ride the Rays if MLB Realigns for Shortened 2020 Season appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:41AM
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Judge, Torres, LeMahieu All See AL MVP Odds Get Longer; Why Are Sharps Fading Yankees added to Google Docs

Judge, Torres, LeMahieu All See AL MVP Odds Get Longer; Why Are Sharps Fading Yankees

  • Every New York Yankee that was on the AL MVP odds board in late February has seen his odds fade in the eight weeks
  • Giancarlo Stanton, who suffered a calf strain in late February, is back to full health and makes his first appearance on the list
  • The 2020 MLB season remains in flux, but the AL MVP race is worth keeping an eye on

When baseball returns, will teams be subjected to a quarantined season in Arizona? Will the league be realigned to cut down on travel? Will fans be allowed to watch live?

None of those questions can be answered yet. But here’s another one to consider: why do the latest 2020 AL MVP odds have every New York Yankees player with longer odds, on average, than they had two months ago?

AL MVP odds Player (Team) Odds on Feb. 28 Current odds Mike Trout (LAA) -104 +106 Aaron Judge (NYY) +1026 +1075 Gleyber Torres (NYY) +1251 +1526 Francisco Lindor (CLE) +1764 +1565 Alex Bregman (HOU) +1414 +1540 Shohei Ohtani (LAA) +1702 +2004 Matt Chapman (OAK) +2254 +2031 Anthony Rendon (LAA) +2780 +2409 Josh Donaldson (MIN) +3595 +3208 Marcus Semien (OAK) +3005 +3209 Rafael Devers (BOS) +2955 +3334 Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) OFF +3500 Jose Ramirez (CLE) +4250 +3575 Jose Altuve (HOU) +3625 +3625 Gerrit Cole (NYY) +3130 +3759    DJ LeMahieu (NYY) +2507 +4263 … … … Gary Sanchez (NYY) +5000 +5875

Odds as of April 30.

It might seem weird that the Yankees’ odds have changed without any baseball being played during the COVID-19 pandemic. But there are reasons for this, which we’ll dive into below.

When Will the MLB, NBA, NHL, PGA Tour Return? See Estimated Dates for All Major Leagues   Read More  Summoning Stanton

New York Yankees outfielder Giancarlo Stanton has a mammoth swing that can change the complexion of a baseball game. In sickness and in health, he can change the complexion of the MVP race, too.

Stanton, who slugged 59 home runs on his way to winning NL MVP in 2017, suffered a calf strain in spring training that would’ve kept him out if the season had started on time (hence why his Feb. 28 MVP odds were “OFF”).

Aaron Boone checks in with:

✅ Judge status update

✅ Stanton status update

✅ Paxton status update

✅ Thoughts on Red Sox punishment

… and so much more on the latest #YESWereHere with @M_Marakovits. pic.twitter.com/9yj9hG5LGO

— YES Network (@YESNetwork) April 23, 2020

Yankees manager Aaron Boone said recently that Stanton is doing well, adding, “When we get ready to go, he should certainly be ready to be back and part of things.”

That’s good for Stanton, but it helps explain the dip in his teammates’ MVP odds. Adding another star to the mix dilutes the level of production each individual player can be credited with.

Ba de ya – say do you remember.

Ba de ya- Stanton in September. pic.twitter.com/nmJ8yGWulQ

— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 21, 2019

Now, of course every player is still responsible for what they do in their own at-bats or outings on the mound. But with a team as loaded as the Yankees, it is more difficult to single out an individual for such a prestigious award.

Boston’s Mookie Betts did win the 2018 AL MVP with teammate J.D. Martinez finishing fourth. But the Yankees currently have five players in the top-16 AL MVP odds, which could prove to be too crowded.

Unpredictability Will Abound

It’s a simple concept: the smaller the sample, the greater the unpredictability.

The Yankees had a 12.7-percent chance of winning the World Series before COVID-19, the highest in the AL, according to FanGraphs. Those odds subsequently shrunk in projections of shorter seasons: 140 games (12 percent), 110 games (9.7 percent) and 81 games (8.1 percent).

"They're better. They're more poised with more experience. They have power AND contact."@AROD breaks down how the @Yankees have improved since their 2017 playoffs appearance. pic.twitter.com/U1bgjjO0A5

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) October 12, 2019

In a shorter season — which is essentially a guarantee at this point — there is less time for the good teams to rise to the top and the bad teams to sink to the bottom.

Same goes for players. If Aaron Judge has a 1-for-31 start to an 81-game season, it’ll hurt him quite a bit more than if he did that to start a 162-game season. Games lost due to injury will also be more costly, and the Yankees have a litany of players with significant injury histories.

What’s The Best Bet?

Mike Trout has seen his odds-on status (-104) fade to plus money in the last eight weeks (presumably thanks to the smaller sample size of the 2020 season). He is the best player in baseball and should still command the bulk of one’s consideration for the MVP vote.

Mike Trout homered on the first pitch he saw, wearing Tyler Skaggs' No. 45 👏

(via @Angels)pic.twitter.com/CaNRlXlrKj

— ESPN (@espn) July 13, 2019

But if there was a time to go off the board a bit, now’s the time! Matt Chapman (+2301) and Jose Altuve (+3625) both make interesting cases in what could be the most unpredictable MLB season in history.

The post Judge, Torres, LeMahieu All See AL MVP Odds Get Longer; Why Are Sharps Fading Yankees? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:41AM
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Barca ra giá bán Coutinho added to Google Docs

Barca ra giá bán Coutinho

Dù không có kế hoạch sử dụng, Barca sẽ không bán ngôi sao người Brazil nếu không nhận đủ 110 triệu USD.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:16AM
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10 chiến binh TBN kỳ cựu nhất lịch sử Premier League Cho lần sau cuối added to Google Docs

10 chiến binh TBN kỳ cựu nhất lịch sử Premier League Cho lần sau cuối

Hạng đấu bóng đá số 1 nước Anh là mảnh đất nơi không ít ngôi sao xứ đấu bò thăng hoa và khắc ghi tên tuổi vào lịch sử.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:06AM
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BLV Trương Anh Ngọc 'SC Heerenveen sẽ gia hạn với Văn Hậu' added to Google Docs

BLV Trương Anh Ngọc 'SC Heerenveen sẽ gia hạn với Văn Hậu'

BLV Trương Anh Ngọc nhận định SC Heerenveen sẽ tiếp tục mượn Đoàn Văn Hậu thêm 1 mùa giải, điều này phù hợp với tình hình hiện tại của CLB.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 10:02AM
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Premier League sốt vì 'hàng Đức' added to Google Docs

Premier League sốt vì 'hàng Đức'

TTO - Ở góc độ thị trường chuyển nhượng, thái độ kiên quyết tiếp diễn mùa giải của Bundesliga (Đức) càng khiến các ngôi sao của họ trở thành 'hàng hot' trong mắt các đại gia ở Premier League (Giải ngoại hạng Anh).

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Created May 1, 2020 at 09:35AM
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Bơi chung với... rùa để hướng đến Olympic added to Google Docs

Bơi chung với... rùa để hướng đến Olympic

TTO - Dù phải thực hiện cách ly do dịch COVID-19, nhưng các VĐV trên thế giới luôn phải thực hiện các bài tập thường xuyên nhằm duy trì phong độ hoặc ít nhất là duy trì thể trạng.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 09:35AM
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Ferdinand 'Torres là khắc tinh của Vidic' added to Google Docs

Ferdinand 'Torres là khắc tinh của Vidic'

Huyền thoại Man Utd Rio Ferdinand cho rằng dù giỏi đến đâu mỗi trung vệ đều gặp khó trước một số mẫu tiền đạo - mà điển hình là cặp Nemanja Vidic và Fernando Torres.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 09:16AM
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Thể thao Việt Nam Chuẩn bị cho việc thi đấu trở lại added to Google Docs

Thể thao Việt Nam Chuẩn bị cho việc thi đấu trở lại

TTO - Sau 4 tháng tạm dừng tổ chức tất cả các hoạt động thi đấu trong và ngoài nước, Tổng cục TDTT đang chuẩn bị cho các giải đấu khởi tranh trở lại khi có sự đồng ý của Chính phủ.

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Created May 1, 2020 at 09:05AM
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Thinking the Unthinkable – how’s this going to be paid for added to Google Docs

Thinking the Unthinkable – how’s this going to be paid for

 We cannot go back to how we were

This is the reaction of many to the pandemic, now stalking many lands. Globalisation – at least as enjoyed over the last few decades – is over, a reset of relations with China, a change to the state’s role to the chagrin of those wanting a small state, low taxes, free markets, borders will not be as open as before etc.,. Well, some or all of this is probably true. Big events do change the political and economic landscape – wars and serious economic shocks certainly do. Whether pandemics do is less clear. The Black Death certainly did. The Spanish flu, however, did not. Nor did the flu pandemics of 1957 (started in China) or 1968 – 1970 (from HK) which, in each case, killed between 1 – 4 million people worldwide and at least 30,00 in the U.K.

Whatever else we can say about this virus, the strategy currently employed by all governments to a greater or lesser extent to minimise its human impact, is having a serious, possibly catastrophic, economic impact, which will itself have a further damaging impact on those humans saved. How will the government’s support for those affected be paid for? How will the economic losses of the first half of this year (likely even longer) be paid for?  Printing money? Borrowing? Taxation?

Let’s concentrate on the last for now. Taxes will likely have to rise at some point and it is inevitable – and even intimated by the Chancellor – that these will have to rise on those who have been shielded from them until now. All sorts of tax measures previously unthinkable or politically too dangerous may now be available: NI on the self-employed, for instance. Or wealth taxes – a Land Value Tax, say. Doubling the rate of IHT has been telegraphed as a possibility.

It is felt that much of what is needed can be obtained by taxing wealth and assets, as if it is only income which has taken a battering. Time to cast aside the reverence given to wealth and tax it too – and more heavily than it has been. The unspoken assumption is that there is a pot of gold marked “Wealth” which will provide all (or most) of what is needed. This may not be a safe assumption. Wealth has taken a hammering too: anyone with shares (so every working person with a pension) has seen their wealth reduce. The housing market is affected too. Commercial landlords cannot be certain of their current let alone future income. All businesses – and their investors – dependant on discretionary consumer spending will be feeling a lot more financially insecure than they were three months ago. Many will not survive. The golden goose is going to be quite a lot slimmer well before it gets plucked.

So let’s think some of these unthinkable thoughts and go beyond the political boundaries we have been used to. Unpalatable questions need asking. Sacred cows may need slaughtering:-

Who pays?

  • The incidence of tax. Not something which ever appears in a headline or which many understand but as important as tax rates. The narrower a tax base is, the more vulnerable an economy is to a disappearance  or significant weakening of that base. It’s what happened post the GFC when all those banking revenues disappeared. It’s what is happening now, as people lose their jobs and reign in their spending. What do we do then?
  • Our income tax base is relatively narrow. All the push in recent years has been to take ever more people out of tax at the lower end. Maybe we need to ask why the poor should be shielded from paying any income tax – even if that contribution is very modest indeed. If payment of tax is the price to pay for our society and the services provided to all – whether they use them or not – shouldn’t all citizens contribute? So increase rates, yes, but make sure all contribute something. We could call this The Widow’s Mite approach to taxation.
  • The same can be said of corporation taxes or, more broadly, taxes on companies. Too many companies think a country is a market to make money from rather than a country to which obligations are owed because of the benefits companies derive from the services paid for by others. All very well big companies thanking us for staying at home in self-congratulatory advertisements while they make ever more money out of us. How about showing their thanks with some real cash. And not as part of some sweetheart deal with overworked tax inspectors either – as if they were doing us a favour – but as a matter of course.

Too many exemptions

  • Another version of the incidence issue. VAT is a tax largely imposed on discretionary spending of all kind, precisely the sort of spending which has been – and likely will continue to be – hit for some time to come. Oh dear. But also a tax whose incidence is narrower than in other European countries: it is charged on food and books in most European countries. Not here. The list of exemptions from VAT is notably longer in the U.K. than elsewhere in Europe. Is it now time to remove all these exemptions rather than increasing them, as the Chancellor has just done?
  • An Englishman’s home – yes it may be his castle and the subject of innumerable property programmes currently infesting day-time TV schedules. But why should it be exempt from CGT? The big criticism of a wealth tax is that a home confers no income so such a tax would need to be paid out of income, but without reference to its level. Or by selling the asset. In which case, why not explicitly levy the tax on sale when there can be no doubt about value or the seller’s ability to pay?
  • IHT – a tax which evokes strong emotions. There is little cool rationality when it comes to death and money, as any 19th century French novelist could tell you. Taxing at a time of grief, taxing the instinct to help and protect those you love the most seems (to many) particularly cruel and hard-hearted. To others the “windfall” nature of inheritances feels like unfair luck, not earned or merited. It is a tax whose current form is perfectly designed both to annoy and to make it worthwhile to avoid: too high a rate and too many exemptions. Lower the rate significantly and abolish the exemptions. Even the one for spouses? Why not? Why should an adult spouse inherit an estate tax-free but not a child?
  • Remember the fuss big charity donors made when Osborne put a limit on the tax advantages gained by them. To hear the squeals you’d have thought that getting a tax advantage was more important than helping the charity. Surely not. Time for something like that again. Maybe time also to limit some of the other tax advantages enjoyed by charities, many of whom are pretty big businesses. We know about public schools. But why should donations to political parties be IHT exempt? Why should charities be exempt from tax on trading profits? Or business rates?

Putting our money where our clapping hands are

  • Rainbows and claps for the NHS and bin-men and other essential but largely invisible workers are doubtless very heart-warming. So how about paying directly for some of these services. We already do – for prescriptions and some local authority services. Why not extend this? If these services are so important to us why shouldn’t we want to pay more, especially for what we use directly. Not instead of taxation but in addition to. It’s not either or, even if that is how the argument has always been framed until now. We happily pay to see vets for our pets, rich and poor alike. If we can afford those costs, then we can surely afford to pay for our beloved NHS and other essential workers. Health charges are, after all, common elsewhere in Europe. 

I am not advocating these. I can hear the cries of pain and “NFW” already. Many will be unpopular; others politically impossible. There may be good economic reasons against them, the most obvious being that a damaged economy does not need demand depressed further. There may be unintended consequences worse than the cure. There may well be better solutions and suggestions.

Still, it is striking that the solutions people often come up with after a crisis tend to be ones people wanted anyway rather than genuinely fresh thinking (I make no claims in this regard.) As with much else arising from this virus, difficult choices are having to be made – and will be needed long after this pandemic is resolved.

CycleFree

via politicalbetting.com https://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/05/01/thinking-the-unthinkable-hows-this-going-to-be-paid-for/  https://diachibet.com/fb88

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Created May 1, 2020 at 08:31AM
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Việt Nam nên tập trung vòng loại World Cup thay vì AFF Cup added to Google Docs

Việt Nam nên tập trung vòng loại World Cup thay vì AFF Cup

 Liệu có thể bị xem là phi thực tế khi đội tuyển Việt Nam cùng lúc phải gánh hai mục tiêu quá lớn nên VFF cũng như HLV Park Hang-seo đừng quá ôm đồm bởi dễ dẫn đến tình trạng “xôi hỏng bỏng không”.

via Bóng đá Việt Nam | Thanh Niên https://thanhnien.vn/the-thao/bong-da-viet-nam/viet-nam-nen-tap-trung-vong-loai-world-cup-thay-vi-aff-cup-114652.html  https://diachibet.com/fb88

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Created May 1, 2020 at 08:20AM
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